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TopCat
06-11-2005, 01:22 AM
I've been following the lead up to the Tour de France very closely this year. Here's a break down of the major players and where they are at the moment.


The King

Lance Armstrong - Somebody will have to take the Yellow Jersey away from The Boss. Lance is coming into Tour form, and is putting up a solid showing at the Dauphiné Libéré. He's highly motivated to end his career with his 7th Tour victory. He will again have the best team in the field, and he has the best Team Director in the sport. Trek has just given him their latest TT bike, the fastest bike going. Lance is definitely the man to beat.


The Favorites

Jan Ullrich - Always a threat. Jan is strategically targeting the Tour de France this year, and is attempting to moderate his training to peak in France. I think Jan will be a beast in the Time Trials, but his form is always suspect in the Pyrenees. Solid team support, if they choose to support him and not Vinokourov.

Alexandre Vinokourov - Another of the T-Mobile generals. I think Vinokourov could be Lance's main threat. The Kazak rider is showing great form in the Dauphiné Libéré, and has been impressive all season. The question is, can his conditioning peak at the right time? Vinokourov is an agressive rider who lives to attack in the mountain stages. Can he string a few mountain stages together to dethrone Lance? Could be the question of the race.

Ivan Basso - This guy is poised to dominate cycling. He's on the verge of becoming a great GC rider, and seemed to have the Giro in his pocket before a stomach bug ended his hopes. The guy is tough as nails and has been steadily improving every year. CSC surrounds him with a strong team. His big question mark is whether he expended his conditioning at the Giro, and if he has the legs left to compete in France. With Basso it's just a matter of time. Is it this year?


The Contenders

Levi Leipheimer - The American rider has been having a great season, but has yet to produce a breakout win. He's looked solid at the Dauphiné Libéré, producing two incredible TT rides and a solid peformance in the Alps. Only problem is that his team sucks and Levi seems to lack the killer edge you have to have to win.

Floyd Landis - Another American rider who's doing well at the Dauphiné Libéré. One of Lance's former team riders, Floyd is a very talented bike rider who's coming into his form a bit too late in his career. He has very solid team support with Phonak, but Landis needs to prove he's a team leader capable of challenging for the GC. That's a tall order for a first time team leader.

Iban Mayo - The most agressive of the Spanish climbers. Mayo has said he's targeting the Tour as his goal this season. The guy is a daring attacker, who specializes in the toughest stages of the Tour. The question is, can he maintain a consistent form over three weeks, and can he represent in the TTs? Most likely not...

Andreas Kloden - After a great 2nd place finish in Paris last year, Kloden looks terrible this year. Supposed to be the third part of the three headed T-Mobile monster, Kloden looks like a liability this season. Unless he's hiding his form, Kloden will ride himself out of the Tour in the first 10 days.

SnowCat
06-11-2005, 02:53 AM
I have Lance as a very slight favorite.

The 2 major challengers are Ulrich and Basso. This is an example of an heir-apparent (Basso), vs. a determined and capable veteran (Ulrich).

Alexandre Vinokourov should figure into the mix.

I'm really spacing here, but after last season, I pegged a dark-horse for this year and for the life of me I can't remember his name.

budd1e_lee
06-11-2005, 12:16 PM
TC, you think Hincapie could have won a Tour had he not been Lance's right-hand man all these years?

TopCat
06-11-2005, 01:09 PM
budd1e_lee,

Hincapie is a great classics rider, excelling in the one day events. He's what's described as a Roeller, a guy who can push heavy gears and cruise on open terrain. Since he's a big guy, he does great when you get on cobble stones and rough pavement.

But he's never been a great climber because of his size. To win the Tour de France, you have to be able to climb in the mountains.

He's been coming on over the last few seasons though, getting much better in the mountains and in Time Trials. He actually won the opening prologue of the Dauphiné, which was a short Time Trial. Last season he led some of the earlier climbs in the Alps for US Postal, showing a much improved climbing form. But as seen in today's mountain stage in the Dauphiné, where big George finished 20 minutes behind Armstrong, the mountains of the Grand Tours will always be his undoing.


You have to love George though. He's one of my favorite cyclists. Completely loyal to Lance, he's the guy Lance follows in every flat stage, protecting Lance from wind and harm. George has taken quite a few falls to protect Armstrong.

Plus, George ended up marrying one of those French models who hand out the trophies at the end of the daily stage races! Score one for Big George... :cheers:

CatintheHeat
06-11-2005, 03:11 PM
What happened to Tyler Hamilton? He was one of the favorites last year. Did he retire? I've been watching the Tour De France for quite a few years now, but don't follow the rest of the cycling season.

ByJoveByJingle
06-11-2005, 03:19 PM
Drug ban.

budd1e_lee
06-11-2005, 03:43 PM
You have to love George though. He's one of my favorite cyclists. Completely loyal to Lance, he's the guy Lance follows in every flat stage, protecting Lance from wind and harm. George has taken quite a few falls to protect Armstrong.

Plus, George ended up marrying one of those French models who hand out the trophies at the end of the daily stage races! Score one for Big George... :cheers:
Haha yeah, George is the man. Isn't he like 6'4" or something? Thats giant for a cyclist. George pimpin the Tour babes, sounds like my kinda time. :smokin:

TopCat
06-11-2005, 03:46 PM
CatintheHeat,

Tyler was tested during the Vuelta de Espana last year and trace amounts of blood was found indicating that he'd received a blood transfusion to increase red blood cells. A similar test during the Olympics had indicated the presence of possible donor blood, but the B sample was accidentally frozen in the lab, destroying the lab's ability to verify the initial test results.

Hamilton was allowed to keep his Gold Medal in the Olympic Time Trial, but was immediately pulled from the Vuelta. He's since received a two year ban by the American Cycling Organization.

He's appealing the ruling on some pretty bizarre scientific grounds, and the International Court of Arbitration for Sport is addressing the appeal right now.


The trick in cycling is to try and increase oxygen-carrying red blood cells to improve endurance. There are a variety of ways people try this, with the most popular being the use of EPO (Erythropoietin) which regulates the production of red blood cells. What is still undetectable at this point is to basically draw your own blood, store it, and then reinject it before a race to increase red blood cells. No doubt some people are using this method.


In Tyler's case, he has vehemently denied accepting a blood transfusion.

TopCat
06-11-2005, 03:54 PM
Haha yeah, George is the man. Isn't he like 6'4" or something? Thats giant for a cyclist. George pimpin the Tour babes, sounds like my kinda time. :smokin:

Yeah, he's 6'-3" and 175 lbs, which is pretty big for a cyclist, and that's actually the slimmed down version of Hincapie. Most of your climbers are around 130 lbs. Armstrong is no lightweight either at around 160-170 lbs.